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Macro & Strategy

“The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.”

— Aristotle, Metaphysics, Book VIII, Part 6

Renowned as a foundational philosopher whose systematic approach to understanding the world shaped Western thought, Aristotle’s insight into the emergent properties of complex systems resonates with FGEN’s Macro & Strategy publication series, where we place notable current macroeconomic events in context, exploring their historical roots and implications for markets, all from FGEN’s neutral geographical perch offering an unbiased perspective.

Introduction

This series examines major macroeconomic and geopolitical developments, placing today’s events in historical context while analyzing their implications for global markets. Inspired by Ray Dalio’s principles of economic cycles and cause-effect relationships, we observe trade realignments to shifts in monetary policy and evolving global power structures to cut through noise with clear, fact-based insights. Our ultimate goal is to equip investors with a forward-looking perspective to better anticipate and navigate a rapidly changing, increasingly interconnected economic order.

Distilling complexity into clarity through Dalio’s mechanistic lens, FGEN Macro &Strategy embraces: Mapping recurring global shifts, rendering macroeconomic data as intuitive tools, and embracing interconnected risks to foster adaptive, long-term prosperity.

As Dalio observed, “The economy is like a machine, it has operating parts and principles that govern how it works.” This mechanistic lens anchors our analyses, transforming geopolitical turbulence into navigable pathways for enduring growth.

Macro & Strategy Articles

A Nobel Prize Lens on AI Investment

Tech-related spend in total business investment. Contributions to year-over-year growth in inflation-adjusted private fixed investment

Macro & Strategy

A Nobel Prize Lens on AI Investment

AI investments look excessive until you know what you're really looking at: knowledge engines that compound indefinitely, fuel decades of growth and drive tomorrow's innovation.

USD Depreciation: Implications for GCC

Depicts the skyline of metropolitan middle eastern city like Dubai at twilight on a bay

Macro & Strategy

USD Depreciation: Implications for GCC

Explores how USD depreciation enhances GCC resilience via Asian export booms, diversification, and tourism inflows, positioning the region as a stable haven for global investors.

Navigating A New Economic Order

Continents on a globe with a line graph indicating the state of the economy

Macro & Strategy

Navigating A New Economic Order

As Trump's protectionist pivot dismantles the post-1945 global order, investors must rethink diversification, hedge volatility, and capitalize on resilient assets like tech and commodities.

Understanding the New Market Reality

A digital stock market graph that blends with downtown New York City

Macro & Strategy

Understanding the New Market Reality

This outlook explores how exponential technologies, blurred public-private markets, and Silicon Valley driven models are reshaping investment opportunities across AI, energy, defense, life sciences, and digital assets.

Global Diplomatic Breakthroughs and President Trump's Middle East Strategy

Geopolitical Update

Global Diplomatic Breakthroughs and President Trump's Middle East Strategy

Discover how diplomatic breakthroughs and Trump's Middle East maneuvers position GCC nations as strategic powerhouses, balancing US alliances with Asian trade for unparalleled investment opportunities.